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function [I, J] = confiance(t, N)
% Compute the 95 percent confident interval
%
% see Y. Bennani and F. Bossaert,
% Predictive neural networks for traffic disturbance detection in the telephone network
% In Proceedings of IMACS-CESA 1996, Lille, France.
Z = 1.96; % this value for the 95 percent confident interval
T = t/100;
tmp = (Z*Z)/N;
D = 1+tmp;
N1 = T+tmp/2;
tmp2 = T*(1-T)/N + tmp/(4*N);
N2 = Z*sqrt(tmp2);
I = 100*(N1-N2)/D;
J = 100*(N1+N2)/D;
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