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function [bnet, order, BIC_score, LOGLIKE] = learn_struct_EM(bnet, samplesM, max_loop)
% LEARN_STRUCT_EM(), structural EM algorithm , learn structure and parameters
% from missing data.
% [bnet, order, BIC_score] = learn_struct_EM(bnet, samplesM, max_loop)
tiny = exp(-700);
improve_factor = 0.001; %when current BIC score is less than old_score+old_score*improve_factor, stop search
N = length(bnet.dag);
ncases = size(samplesM, 2);
log_value = log(ncases);
ns = bnet.node_sizes;
dag = zeros(N,N);
order = zeros(1,N); %save the label of each node in current dag correspond to the original dag
order = 1:N; %original dag has nodes label 1:N
CPT = cell(2); %save the modified node's CPT of the bnet that has the highest score in an iteration
%in cases "del" and "add", there is only one CPT will be save, in "rev" need to save two CPTs.
update_samples = cell(N, ncases); %in this algorithm, because the label of the next dag will be different with the
%last dag, so the label of the trainning data will be modified, too
loop = 0;
evidence = cell(1,N);
while loop<max_loop % generally set the max_loop to 30
loop = loop + 1
engine = jtree_inf_engine(bnet);
[bnet, LOGLIKE] = learn_params_em(engine, samplesM, 10); % default set the parameter EM runs 10 iterations
for i=1:N
s = struct(bnet.CPD{i});
counts = s.counts(:);
ll(i) = sum(log(s.CPT(:) + tiny) .* counts);
end
[D,d] = compute_bnet_nparams(bnet);
[nbrs, ops, nodes, orders] = mk_nbrs_of_dag_topo(bnet.dag);
nGs = length(nbrs);
[ec, ec1, LL] = compute_approx_ess(bnet, samplesM, ops, nodes);
bic_score0 = sum(LL);
bic_score0 = bic_score0 - 0.5 * D * log_value; % bic score of current bnet
bic_score = zeros(1,nGs); % save each neighbour dag(bnet)'s bic score
for i=1:nGs
bic_score(i) = -inf;
end
for i=1:nGs
edge = nodes(i,:);
switch ops{i}
case 'del'
head = edge(1);
tail = edge(2);
approx_ess = ec{i}.counts;
CPT1 = mk_stochastic(approx_ess);
LL1 = LL;
LL1(tail) = sum(log(CPT1(:) + tiny) .* approx_ess(:));
d1 = d;
d1(tail) = d(tail) / ns(head);
D1 = sum(d1);
bic_score(i) = sum(LL1) - 0.5 * D1 * log_value;
[a, j] = max(bic_score);
if j==i % if the current dag has the highest bic score, save it's CPT(s)
CPT{1} = CPT1;
end
case 'add'
head = edge(1);
tail = edge(2);
approx_ess = ec{i}.counts;
if head>tail % now, the "ess" is in ascent manner, accord with the labels in the "domain" field.
n = length(ec{i}.domain); % need permute , so that "ess" contain the last dimension is about the "tail" node.
approx_ess = permute(approx_ess, [1:n-2, n, n-1]); % because there is only one "edge" modified, only need
end % to exchange the last two dimension if needed.
CPT1 = mk_stochastic(approx_ess);
LL1 = LL;
d1 = d;
LL1(tail) = sum(log(CPT1(:) + tiny) .* approx_ess(:));
d1(tail) = d(tail) * ns(head);
D1 = sum(d1);
bic_score(i) = sum(LL1) - 0.5 * D1 * log_value;
[a, j] = max(bic_score);
if j==i
CPT{1} = CPT1;
end
case 'rev' % ops "rev" influent two family, equals the combination of a "del" and an "add"
% "del" an edge
head = edge(1);
tail = edge(2);
approx_ess = ec1{i}.counts;
CPT1 = mk_stochastic(approx_ess);
LL1 = LL;
LL1(tail) = sum(log(CPT1(:) + tiny) .* approx_ess(:));
d1 = d;
d1(tail) = d(tail) / ns(head);
% "add" an edge
head = edge(2);
tail = edge(1);
approx_ess = ec{i}.counts;
if head>tail % now, the "ess" is in ascent manner, accord with the labels in the "domain" field.
n = length(ec{i}.domain); % need permute , so that "ess" contain the last dimension is about the "tail" node.
approx_ess = permute(approx_ess, [1:n-2, n, n-1]); % because there is only one "edge" modified, only need
end % to exchange the last two dimension if needed.
CPT2 = mk_stochastic(approx_ess);
LL1(tail) = sum(log(CPT2(:) + tiny) .* approx_ess(:));
d1(tail) = d(tail) * ns(head);
D1 = sum(d1);
bic_score(i) = sum(LL1) - 0.5 * D1 * log_value;
[a, j] = max(bic_score);
if j==i
CPT{1} = CPT1;
CPT{2} = CPT2;
end
end
end
[BIC_score, i] = max(bic_score);
temp = abs(bic_score0) * improve_factor; % search will be finish when the improvment of bic score
% less than 0.1% compare with the previous best result
if BIC_score > (bic_score0 + temp)
dag1 = nbrs{i}; % new best dag
order1 = orders{i}; % labels of each nodes altered from last iteration
% the labels of each nodes are altered, so the "data" will need to "re-arrange" according to the new order
for j = 1:N
row = order1(j);
for k = 1:ncases
update_samples{j,k} = samplesM{row,k};
end
end
samplesM = update_samples;
dag = dag1(order1, order1); % "reshape" the best dag, make it as an "upper trianglar"
ns = ns(order1); % also must modify the order of "ns"
CPDs = bnet.CPD;
bnet = mk_bnet(dag, ns); % use the best dag now to produce a new bnet, with altered nodes labels
for j=1:N % randomly set the CPTs values of each CPDs
bnet.CPD{j} = tabular_CPD(bnet, j, 'prior_type', 'dirichlet', 'dirichlet_weight', 0);
end
edge = nodes(i,:);
% update the CPDs of new best bnet(dag) using corresponding CPDs of last iteration.
% copy the old CPTs that not altered.
% set the altered CPTs from the saved "CPT" variables
switch ops{i}
case 'del'
tail = edge(2);
tail = find(order1==tail);
bnet.CPD{tail} = set_fields(bnet.CPD{tail}, 'CPT', CPT{1});
forbidden = [tail];
bnet.CPD = copy_CPD(bnet.CPD, CPDs, order1, forbidden);
case 'add'
tail = edge(2);
tail = find(order1==tail);
bnet.CPD{tail} = set_fields(bnet.CPD{tail}, 'CPT', CPT{1});
forbidden = [tail];
bnet.CPD = copy_CPD(bnet.CPD, CPDs, order1, forbidden);
case 'rev'
head = edge(2);
head = find(order1==head);
bnet.CPD{head} = set_fields(bnet.CPD{head}, 'CPT', CPT{1});
tail = edge(1);
tail = find(order1==tail);
bnet.CPD{tail} = set_fields(bnet.CPD{tail}, 'CPT', CPT{2});
forbidden = [head, tail];
bnet.CPD = copy_CPD(bnet.CPD, CPDs, order1, forbidden);
end
% draw a graph for the new best dag with nodes labels are the same as the original
order = order(order1);
% labels = cellstr(int2str(order'));
% figure(loop+1);
% draw_graph(dag,labels);
clear bic_score D d; % for each iteration, re-compute all the expected counts and bic score
clear ec ec1 LL;
clear nbrs ops nodes orders;
else
BIC_score = bic_score0; % if there is no improvement in bic score, stop the search, and return
break;
end
end
BIC_score
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
function [D,d]= compute_bnet_nparams(bnet)
%
%
N = length(bnet.dag);
d = zeros(1,N);
for i=1:N
a = struct(bnet.CPD{i});
d(i) = a.nparams;
end
D = sum(d);
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
function newCPD = copy_CPD(newCPD, CPDs, order, forbidden)
%copy CPDs from old bnet to new bnet, except those nodes has been modified
%
N = length(order);
for i=1:N
if ~mysubset(i, forbidden)
a = order(i);
s = struct(CPDs{a});
CPT = s.CPT;
newCPD{i} = set_fields(newCPD{i}, 'CPT', CPT);
end
end
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
function [ec, ec1, LL] = compute_approx_ess(bnet, samplesM, ops, nodes)
%compute all neighbours' needed approximate ess based on current bnet.
%
tiny = exp(-700);
N = length(bnet.dag);
ns = bnet.node_sizes;
ncases = size(samplesM, 2);
nGs = length(ops);
ec0 = cell(1,N);
ec = cell(1, nGs); %store each neighbours' altered family's approximate ess.
ec1 = cell(1, nGs); %since operator 'rev' need to alter two families, ec1 store the ess of family deleted an edge
copy = zeros(1, nGs);
copy1 = zeros(1, nGs);
LL = zeros(1, N); %For current bnet, LL store each nodes's LogLike based on approximate ess.
for i =1:nGs
ec{i}.domain = [];
ec{i}.counts = [];
ec1{i}.domain = [];
ec1{i}.counts = [];
end
for i =1:N
parents = bnet.parents{i};
family = [parents, i];
ec0{i} = 0 * myones(ns(family));
end
for i =1:nGs
edge = nodes(i, :);
switch ops{i}
case 'del'
head = edge(1);
tail = edge(2);
parents = bnet.parents{tail};
parents = mysetdiff(parents, head);
domain = [parents, tail];
copy(i) = find_same_domain(ec, domain, i);
ec{i}.domain = domain;
ec{i}.counts = 0 * myones(ns(domain));
case 'add'
head = edge(1);
tail = edge(2);
parents = bnet.parents{tail};
parents = [parents, head, tail];
domain = sort(parents);
copy(i) = find_same_domain(ec, domain, i);
ec{i}.domain = domain;
ec{i}.counts = 0 * myones(ns(domain));
case 'rev'
head = edge(1);
tail = edge(2);
parents = bnet.parents{tail};
parents = mysetdiff(parents, head);
domain = [parents, tail];
copy1(i) = find_same_domain(ec, domain, i);
ec1{i}.domain = domain;
ec1{i}.counts = 0 * myones(ns(domain));
head = edge(2);
tail = edge(1);
parents = bnet.parents{tail};
parents = [parents, head, tail];
domain = sort(parents);
copy(i) = find_same_domain(ec, domain, i);
ec{i}.domain = domain;
ec{i}.counts = 0 * myones(ns(domain));
end
end
engine = jtree_inf_engine(bnet);
for l =1:ncases
evidence = samplesM(:, l);
[engine, ll] = enter_evidence(engine, evidence);
ns_eff = ns;
ns_eff(~isemptycell(evidence)) = 1;
Vmarg = cell(1,N);
for i =1:N
Vmarg{i} = marginal_nodes(engine, i);
end
for i = 1:N
parents = bnet.parents{i};
family = [parents, i];
nfamily = length(family);
Fmarg = [];
for j = 1:nfamily
Fmarg = multiply_one_marginal(Fmarg, Vmarg{family(j)}, ns_eff);
end
fullm = add_ev_to_dmarginal(Fmarg, evidence, ns);
ec0{i} = ec0{i} + fullm.T;
end
for i = 1:nGs
switch ops{i}
case 'del'
if ~copy(i)
domain = ec{i}.domain;
Fmarg = [];
for j=1:length(domain)
Fmarg = multiply_one_marginal(Fmarg, Vmarg{domain(j)}, ns_eff);
end
fullm = add_ev_to_dmarginal(Fmarg, evidence, ns);
ec{i}.counts = ec{i}.counts + fullm.T;
end
case 'add'
if ~copy(i)
domain = ec{i}.domain;
Fmarg = [];
for j=1:length(domain)
Fmarg = multiply_one_marginal(Fmarg, Vmarg{domain(j)}, ns_eff);
end
fullm = add_ev_to_dmarginal(Fmarg, evidence, ns);
ec{i}.counts = ec{i}.counts + fullm.T;
end
case 'rev'
if ~copy1(i)
domain = ec1{i}.domain;
Fmarg = [];
for j=1:length(domain)
Fmarg = multiply_one_marginal(Fmarg, Vmarg{domain(j)}, ns_eff);
end
fullm = add_ev_to_dmarginal(Fmarg, evidence, ns);
ec1{i}.counts = ec1{i}.counts + fullm.T;
end
if ~copy(i)
domain = ec{i}.domain;
Fmarg = [];
for j=1:length(domain)
Fmarg = multiply_one_marginal(Fmarg, Vmarg{domain(j)}, ns_eff);
end
fullm = add_ev_to_dmarginal(Fmarg, evidence, ns);
ec{i}.counts = ec{i}.counts + fullm.T;
end
end
end
clear Vmarg;
end
for i =1:nGs
if copy(i)
ec{i}.counts = ec{copy(i)}.counts;
end
if copy1(i)
ec1{i}.counts = ec{copy1(i)}.counts;
end
end
for i=1:N
s = struct(bnet.CPD{i});
counts = ec0{i};
LL(i) = sum(log(s.CPT(:) + tiny) .* counts(:));
end
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
function index = find_same_domain(ec, domain, length)
%
%
index = 0;
for i = 1:length
if isequal(domain, ec{i}.domain)
index = i;
break;
end
end
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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